Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.148144 0.175725 0.206670 0.243911 0.287467 0.336747 0.396683
2025-07-06 0.105230 0.139789 0.182806 0.240087 0.314147 0.406440 0.529932
2025-07-13 0.085825 0.124187 0.175808 0.249918 0.353087 0.491047 0.688850
2025-07-20 0.075306 0.116890 0.176527 0.267537 0.402004 0.592249 0.880420
2025-07-27 0.065950 0.108886 0.173994 0.278782 0.441791 0.683886 1.068255
2025-08-03 0.056130 0.098098 0.165077 0.278242 0.462715 0.748961 1.223064
2025-08-10 0.046535 0.085820 0.151613 0.267952 0.466056 0.786217 1.337636
2025-08-17 0.038312 0.074364 0.137567 0.254238 0.461225 0.808719 1.429439
2025-08-24 0.033855 0.068843 0.132777 0.255467 0.481306 0.873589 1.597477
2025-08-31 0.028923 0.061571 0.123703 0.247547 0.483839 0.908065 1.715900
2025-09-07 0.026110 0.057972 0.120908 0.250775 0.506776 0.980350 1.908132
2025-09-14 0.023411 0.054149 0.117098 0.251410 0.524617 1.044740 2.091777
2025-09-21 0.020405 0.049360 0.111040 0.247525 0.534769 1.098842 2.268086
2025-09-28 0.017787 0.044994 0.105272 0.243560 0.544553 1.153961 2.454010
2025-10-05 0.016596 0.043719 0.105974 0.253515 0.584478 1.273098 2.780233
2025-10-12 0.016061 0.043927 0.110009 0.271372 0.643486 1.437278 3.215636
2025-10-19 0.015129 0.042963 0.111170 0.282769 0.689533 1.578999 3.618338
2025-10-26 0.013599 0.040162 0.107500 0.282222 0.708306 1.664030 3.907876
2025-11-02 0.011754 0.036152 0.100210 0.271792 0.702589 1.694396 4.080065
2025-11-09 0.010003 0.032054 0.092031 0.257891 0.686632 1.699684 4.195892
2025-11-16 0.009126 0.030332 0.089844 0.259137 0.708146 1.793625 4.525493
2025-11-23 0.007992 0.027600 0.084473 0.251109 0.705086 1.828995 4.720410
2025-11-30 0.007393 0.026430 0.083297 0.254381 0.731758 1.938865 5.105468